‰ Now 18 WPM transition file follows ‰

Strong solar activity continued this week, with average daily
sunspot numbers rising 36 points to 119.9 and average daily solar
flux up 24 points to 198. The X Ray background flux from GOES 15 has
ranged from C1.2 to C2.6 since October 19. RWC Prague predicts a
range from B2.0 to C1.5 from October 31 through November 6.  You can
see daily X ray flux at //www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/DSD.txt.
It also shows for each day the number of new sunspot regions which
appeared, and on October 30 there were four new regions and the
sunspot number was 121. This is the highest number of new regions to
appear on any day since August 14, when there were four, on December
31, 2013 when there were also four new ones, and August 7, 2013, and
April 5 2013.  Way back on January 4, 2013 five new regions appeared
in one day.  If you are recording solar flux and sunspot data into a
personal archive, you will be happy to know that the DRAO site in
Penticton has their archive of solar flux data now current, and
updated three times per day. You can find it at
//ftp.geolab.nrcan.gc.ca/ and at //www.spaceweather.ca/ for the html
copy. The data has been updated infrequently over the past couple of
months.  You can also download an update from
//www.craigcentral.com/sol.asp of the data file for Scott Craigs
solar data plotting utility. A new data file through October 29,
2014 is now up. It replaces the April 3, 2014 file.  You can update
the data file weekly using Scotts program with new copies of this
bulletin. This gives you daily solar flux and sunspot numbers
stretching back over a quarter century, to January 1, 1989.  The
Solar Data Plotting Utility only runs on the Windows operating
system, on all versions through Windows Xp. I currently use it in Xp
mode in Windows 7.  Our updated prediction has daily solar flux at
130 on October 31 through November 2, 125 on November 3 and 4, 120
on November 5 to 7, 160 on November 8, 165 on November 9 and 10 and
175 on November 11 and 12, then peaking at 200 on November 19 and
20, and reaching a low of 110 on December 12.  Predicted planetary A
index is 12 on October 30, 8 on October 31 through November 4, 12 on
November 5, 8 on November 6 and 7, 5 on November 8 and 9, 8 on
November 10 and 11, then 5 and 8 on November 12 and 13, 12 on
November 14 and 15, then 22, 15 and 10 on November 16 to 18, and 8
on November 19 to 21.  OK1HH sees quiet to unsettled geomagnetic
conditions on October 31, quiet conditions November 1, mostly quiet
November 2, quiet to unsettled November 3, quiet on November 4,
quiet to active November 5, active to disturbed November 6, mostly
quiet November 7, quiet to unsettled November 8 and quiet November
9.  Then mostly quiet November 10 and 11, quiet to unsettled
November 12, mostly quiet November 13 and 14, quiet to unsettled
November 15, mostly quiet November 16, active to disturbed November
17, quiet to active November 18, quiet to unsettled November 19,
mostly quiet November 20 to 22, quiet on November 23, quiet to
active November 24, and back to quiet on November 25 and 26.
Sunspot numbers were 126, 147, 115, 138, 120, 109, and 84, with a
mean of 119.9. 10.7 cm flux was 227.1, 217.8, 219.3, 216.6, 187.8,
167.2, and 150.4, with a mean of 198.  Estimated planetary A indices
were 11, 11, 10, 12, 14, 14, and 9, with a mean of 11.6. Estimated
mid latitude A indices were 8, 9, 9, 11, 15, 11, and 7, with a mean
of 10.

‰ End of 18 WPM transition file ‰