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No sunspots seen since January 6, so average daily sunspot numbers
declined from 7.7 to 0 for the current reporting week, January 10 to
16. Average daily solar flux dropped from 71.6 to 69.4 over the same
period. Average daily planetary A index went from 7.4 to 4.9, and
average mid latitude A index went from 6.1 to 4.  Predicted solar
flux for the next 45 days is 70 on January 18 to 20, 72 on January
21 to 24, 71 on January 25 through February 1, 70 on February 2 to
4, 69 on February 5 to 13, 70 on February 14 and 15, 71 on February
16 to 28, and 70 on March 1 to 3.  Predicted planetary A index is 5
on January 18 to 22, then 8, 20, 12 and 8 on January 23 to 26, 5 on
January 27 to 30, then 10, 15, 12 and 8 on January 31 through
February 3, 5 on February 4 to 10, then 12 and 10 on February 11 and
12, 5 on February 13 to 19, then 18, 10 and 8 on February 20 to 22,
5 on February 23 to 26, then 12, 18, 15, 10 and 5 on February 27
through March 3.  Predicted smoothed sunspot number for January 2019
is 9. This predicted smoothed sunspot number is what you want to use
this month with propagation prediction programs such as W6ELprop,
rather than daily sunspot numbers.  No geomagnetic forecast from
OK1HH again this week, until he resumes his predictions on January
31. But we have a similar prediction from Tomas Bayer of the
Institute of Geophysics at the Department of Geomagnetism at Budkov
observatory in Prague.  We expect an active episode at the end of
the forecast period, January 24 and 25. This episode can peak as a
minor storm event although it need not exceed local K index of 4.
Nevertheless, a minor storm event is possible. Until this event, we
expect at most quiet to unsettled conditions, from Friday, January
18 until Wednesday, January 23, we expect quiet conditions only with
an isolated unsettled event.  Even though the government absences
were sorely noted, WeMissNOAA hashtags were everywhere for example,
the meeting was still a buzz of activity.  Strangely enough, the
cancellations caused by the furlough actually helped the Space
Weather Conference, as it brought many terrestrial meteorologists
out of their niche looking for interesting talks to see. Between the
Parker Solar Probe and the recently declassified military report on
the 1972 super solar storm, we definitely had Space Weather stories
to tell.  But what stuck out even more than these stories were the
set of talks Mike Cook and I did on this Space Weather community.
It was all about you and how you have trained us scientists in the
art of Space Weather broadcasting.  Luckily, Ive now learned to come
to meetings equipped with multiple cameras. If you have taught me
anything on this journey, its that you want to share in it with me,
and over the next few months, I plan to share it all. I will be
releasing interviews and chats, interpretations of talks, 360 degree
videos, and more. Some highlights will be included in my forecast
videos, like the Parker Solar Probe interview included this week.
However, much more will be found on Patreon, where I can freely post
videos without worrying about time limitations.  Monthly propagation
charts between four USA regions and twelve overseas locations can be
found on the ARRL/Propagation web page.  Find better information and
tutorials on propagation on the K9LA web site.  Sunspot numbers were
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, and 0, with a mean of 0. 10.7 cm flux was 70.1,
68.1, 69.6, 68.9, 70, 69.5, and 69.7, with a mean of 69.4. Estimated
planetary A indices were 4, 7, 3, 3, 6, 5, and 6, with a mean of
4.9. Estimated mid latitude A indices were 3, 5, 2, 3, 6, 4, and 5,
with a mean of 4.

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