‰  NOW 18 WPM transition file follows ‰

A new sunspot group appeared on January 20 and another on January
24, two more on January 25 and one more on January 26. But overall
solar activity declined from the previous week, January 13 to 19.
Average daily sunspot number declined from 94.4 to 39.6, and average
daily solar flux went from 112 to 97.6.  On January 27 the daily
sunspot number was 85, much higher than the average of 39.6 of the
previous seven days, always a good signal for increasing activity.
Predicted solar flux is 105 on January 28 through February 4, 108 on
February 5 and 6, 110 on February 7 and 8, 108 on February 9 and 10,
then 106, 105, 103, 101, 100 and 95 on February 11 to 16, 92 on
February 17 and 18, 90 on February 19 to 21, then 88, 87, 92 and 94
on February 22 to 25, 96 on February 26 to 28, 98 and 100 on March 1
and 2, 105 on March 3 and 4, then 110 on March 5, and 108 on March 6
and 7.  Predicted planetary A index is 5, 12 and 10 on January 28 to
30, 5 on January 31 through February 3, then 15 and 10 on February 4
and 5, 5 on February 6 to 9, then 12, 15 and 12 on February 10 to
12, 5 on February 13 to 19, 8 on February 20 to 23, then 5, 12 and
10 on February 24 to 26, 5 on February 27 through March 2, then 15
and 10 on March 3 and 4, and 5 on March 5 to 8.  Since the end of
last November, fluctuations in the level of solar activity within
the twenty seven day periodicity have been more regular, which
contributes to the success of the forecasts. This also applies to
the occurrence of coronal holes, so predictions of the Earths
magnetic field activity are also more accurate, including the next
recurrent geomagnetic disturbance, which we expect on/about February
4. The overall level of solar activity is rising faster than long
term forecasts suggest, so it can be assumed that the maximum of the
current 11 year cycle will be higher than the previous one.  Friday,
January 28, we expect quiet conditions. Then, starting Saturday,
January 29, we expect an unsettled to active period ending by
January 31. At the start of February, we expect quiet conditions to
Thursday, February 3. About February 3 and 4, we expect a new active
episode which can reach a minor storm level.  A report from Dr.
Tamitha Skov, WX6SWW, can be found online on //youtu.be/ .  Sunspot
numbers were 60, 23, 22, 22, 26, 53, and 71, with a mean of 39.6.
10.7 cm flux was 99.3, 97.3, 95.2, 93.5, 95.2, 100.9, and 101.8,
with a mean of 97.6. Estimated planetary A indices were 5, 8, 10, 8,
4, 13, and 10, with a mean of 8.3. Middle latitude A index was 5, 5,
7, 7, 3, 10, and 8, with a mean of 6.4.

‰  END OF 18 WPM transition file ƒ